Cerlogic Markets Research: Trading

$CPER - Copper, correction?

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Wed, 21 Oct 2026 13:53:48 GMT

Another strong trend on the weekly, but it’s crowded and started trending down on the daily. It’s more of a yellow light here, lots of unclear setups out there.

Then we have this US 15% tariff uncerta…

$SLV - Silver, Due for a Bounce?

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Wed, 21 Oct 2026 13:03:20 GMT

Not the clearest setup, nothing really is right now, and it’s the main reason why we stay cautious. Trading trends works best, well, when we have good trends.

In any case, $SLV, silver may be setting …

Every Trade, in One Account

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Tue, 20 Oct 2026 22:02:55 GMT

You asked what we’re trading. Right now, not much, and that’s on purpose.

Just about everything is likely topping, correcting, and some assets are crashing. Other things are going sideways, or can tur…

$BTC / $BITO - Bitcoin

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Mon, 19 Oct 2026 17:00:59 GMT

We’re now at a support/resistance zone around $82K, with many piling in for the next move up. Short-term says not so fast, it’s in a downtrend, but medium-term remains in an uptrend (2 charts below).

…

$EIDO - Indonesia

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Mon, 19 Oct 2026 14:16:16 GMT

It’s not particularly our style. We go for major trends and big moves, where you can put on a serious position. But it’s good to be aware of different styles of trading.

One of them is the support/res…

$CHF - Swiss Franc and $VIX

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:23:44 GMT

We’ll always follow the trends, and we won’t be predicting the future, but it helps to be ready for multiple scenarios. One of them is a broader market correction, particularly into and after the US …

$UNG - closing Nat Gas long

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:17:21 GMT

Risk management above all. Normally I’d give it more room to breathe, but $UNG is designed for short-term trades only, it’s like a melting ice cube due to the nature of their rolling contracts.

Sprea…

Cocoa and Coffee

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Thu, 15 Oct 2026 18:47:48 GMT

Both are setting up here, patience is everything. That said, we may be entering tomorrow.

Coffee - $KC / $COFF

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Wed, 14 Oct 2026 05:53:31 GMT

May flip to uptrend on daily by the end of this week. Futures and their options are expensive, around $100K per contract, but thankfully we also have $COFF WisdomTree ETFs, on both LSE and Euronext.

…

Cocoa $CC / $COCO (LSE)

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Tue, 13 Oct 2026 17:01:17 GMT

Setting up to reclaim uptrend on the daily. May finally clear that $6,000/t, time will tell. Cocoa also remains in weekly uptrend. Outright futures are best, but also expensive, so are the options on…

$RSP/$SPY potential trade

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Mon, 12 Oct 2026 11:14:50 GMT

The idea behind this one is quite simple. If the AI trade slows down (it doesn’t even have to decline), then with passive inflows the way they are in these distorted markets, the rest of the S&P stocks just might get the bid.

We don’t do many paired trades, so we’ll treat each side on its own and only enter when the trends agree. $RSP has to pick up first. At that point $SPY likely won’t be in a downtrend, so we’ll start one-sided, with no short side yet. From there, we’ll watch for trend changes and adjust both sides.

If $RSP enters daily uptrend, then we’d be long.

We’re also looking at $RSP/$QQQ.

As always, all trades will be posted.

$TAGS - Ags long-term trade idea

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Sun, 11 Oct 2026 19:47:23 GMT

Right now we’re working off excess speculation in the agricultural sector. In sharp pullbacks like this, we often land around the 21 EMA on the weekly, as the market works to shake out as many longs …

$VIX trade idea

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Sun, 11 Oct 2026 18:52:22 GMT

We trade off trends, so we’ll only enter when the signal is triggered.

That said, with all that will be happening, it’s good risk to reward opportunity.

1st choice - April 2027 VIX 20/40 call spread …

$UNG - Natural Gas, new long trade

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Fri, 09 Oct 2026 18:21:40 GMT

First, if you can, please let me know whether you’d like to receive trading posts by email. They only go to you, not to the public, and there will be around 100 of them a year. There are many more tr…

$UNG - Nat Gas trade idea

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Thu, 08 Oct 2026 19:02:55 GMT

Widowmaker ..

The forward curve already prices a normal winter. A cold one isn’t in the price, or any disruption for that matter.

I’d be trading half size: Jan 15 ’27 11/15 call spread at $0.88 now.
Ri…

$URNM

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Wed, 07 Oct 2026 14:56:36 GMT

Markets are wobbly. Just about the last thing still trending up is tech. In times like these it’s ok to step back and wait for better conditions.

Of course, one can lean short, but it’s not that profi…

Orange Juice - potential trade

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Wed, 07 Oct 2026 06:23:30 GMT

No easy way to play this one, other than futures. But once it breaks out, it may move, fast. For traders outside of US, there are CFDs.

It’ll turn first on daily, while staying in overall downtrend on…

$SPY - potential long trade

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Tue, 06 Oct 2026 11:05:47 GMT

Setup is very simple. The simpler the better, that phrase certainly holds true, and we try to follow it as often as we can. Break and settle above resistance. We’re almost there on futures, and a bit…

$GLD - potential trade

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Mon, 05 Oct 2026 18:28:26 GMT

We’re now in a downtrend on both timeframes, and price may head towards the recently established support zone.

The system calls for a long trade only when we flip to an uptrend, at least on the daily.…

$WEAT - potential trade

Kacper Piotr Kaminski — Mon, 05 Oct 2026 07:30:58 GMT

Getting ready for round 3 in the agricultural commodities.

Each entry will be posted. Now waiting for 8/21 EMA cross on daily.

Solid options chain here as well. Targets are Jan $25C, but this will …